Vol 8, No 8-9 (2007): Practical Diabetology
Other materials agreed with the Editors
Submitted: 2012-01-02
Published online: 2007-09-08
The hemoglobin glycation index is not an independent predictor of the risk of microvascular complications in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial
John M. Lachin, Saul Genuth, David M. Nathan, Brandy N. Rutledge
DOI: 10.5603/cd.8482
·
Diabetologia Praktyczna 2007;8(8-9):330-340.
Vol 8, No 8-9 (2007): Practical Diabetology
Original articles (translated)
Submitted: 2012-01-02
Published online: 2007-09-08
Abstract
The Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT)
demonstrated that intensive therapy aimed at improved
glucose control markedly reduced the risk
of diabetes complications compared with conventional
therapy. The principal determinant of risk was
the history of glycemia. Recently, McCarter et al.
(Diabetes Care 2004; 27: 1259–1264) have presented
analyses of the publicly available DCCT data using their hemoglobin glycation index (HGI), which is
computed as the difference between the observed
HbA1c (A1C) and that predicted from the level of blood
glucose. In their analyses, the HGI level was
a significant predictor of progression of retinopathy
and nephropathy in the DCCT, which the authors
claimed to support the hypothesis that the biological
propensity for glycation, socalled biological variation
in glycation, is another mechanism that determines
risk of complications. However, we have
criticized these analyses and conclusions because,
from statistical principles, the glycation index must
be positively correlated with the A1C level and thus
may simply be a surrogate for A1C. Herein, we present
the statistical properties of the glycation index
to document its high correlation with A1C. We then
replicate the analyses of McCarter et al. using both
the HGI and the A1C together. Analyses show conclusively
that the glycation index is not an independent
risk factor for microvascular complications and
that the effect of the glycation index on risk is wholly
explained by the associated level of A1C. The HGI
should not be used to estimate risk of complications
or to guide therapy.
Abstract
The Diabetes Control and Complications Trial (DCCT)
demonstrated that intensive therapy aimed at improved
glucose control markedly reduced the risk
of diabetes complications compared with conventional
therapy. The principal determinant of risk was
the history of glycemia. Recently, McCarter et al.
(Diabetes Care 2004; 27: 1259–1264) have presented
analyses of the publicly available DCCT data using their hemoglobin glycation index (HGI), which is
computed as the difference between the observed
HbA1c (A1C) and that predicted from the level of blood
glucose. In their analyses, the HGI level was
a significant predictor of progression of retinopathy
and nephropathy in the DCCT, which the authors
claimed to support the hypothesis that the biological
propensity for glycation, socalled biological variation
in glycation, is another mechanism that determines
risk of complications. However, we have
criticized these analyses and conclusions because,
from statistical principles, the glycation index must
be positively correlated with the A1C level and thus
may simply be a surrogate for A1C. Herein, we present
the statistical properties of the glycation index
to document its high correlation with A1C. We then
replicate the analyses of McCarter et al. using both
the HGI and the A1C together. Analyses show conclusively
that the glycation index is not an independent
risk factor for microvascular complications and
that the effect of the glycation index on risk is wholly
explained by the associated level of A1C. The HGI
should not be used to estimate risk of complications
or to guide therapy.
Title
The hemoglobin glycation index is not an independent predictor of the risk of microvascular complications in the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial
Journal
Clinical Diabetology
Issue
Vol 8, No 8-9 (2007): Practical Diabetology
Article type
Other materials agreed with the Editors
Pages
330-340
Published online
2007-09-08
Page views
413
Article views/downloads
2155
DOI
10.5603/cd.8482
Bibliographic record
Diabetologia Praktyczna 2007;8(8-9):330-340.
Authors
John M. Lachin
Saul Genuth
David M. Nathan
Brandy N. Rutledge