Vol 81, No 10 (2023)
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Survival in nonagenarians with acute myocardial infarction in 2014–2020: A nationwide analysis

Małgorzata Kupisz-Urbańska1, Piotr Jankowski12, Roman Topór-Mądry3, Michał Chudzik1, Mariusz Gąsior4, Robert Gil5, Patrycja Gryka3, Zbigniew Kalarus6, Jacek Kubica78, Jacek Legutko910, Przemysław Mitkowski11, Jarosław Pinkas12, Radosław Sierpiński13, Janina Stępińska14, Zbigniew Siudak15, Paweł Teisseyre31617, Adam Witkowski18, Urszula Zielińska-Borkowska19, Tomasz Zdrojewski20, Ryszard Gellert21
Pubmed: 37448218
Kardiol Pol 2023;81(10):1015-1017.

Abstract

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Short communication

Survival in nonagenarians with acute myocardial infarction in 2014–2020: A nationwide analysis

Małgorzata Kupisz-Urbańska1Piotr Jankowski12Roman Topór-Mądry3Michał Chudzik1Mariusz Gąsior4Robert Gil5Patrycja Gryka3Zbigniew Kalarus6Jacek Kubica78Jacek Legutko910Przemysław Mitkowski11Jarosław Pinkas12Radosław Sierpiński13Janina Stępińska14Zbigniew Siudak15Paweł Teisseyre31617Adam Witkowski18Urszula Zielińska-Borkowska19Tomasz Zdrojewski20Ryszard Gellert21
1Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatric Cardiology, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warszawa, Poland
2Department of Epidemiology and Health Promotion, School of Public Health, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warszawa, Poland
3Agency for Health Technology Assessment and Tariff System, Warszawa, Poland
43rd Department of Cardiology, Faculty of Medical Sciences in Zabrze, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland
5Department of Invasive Cardiology, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warszawa, Poland
6Department of Cardiology, Congenital Heart Diseases and Electrotherapy, Division of Medical Sciences in Zabrze, Silesian Medical University, Zabrze, Poland
7Interventional Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine Research, Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
8SIRIO MEDICINE Research Network, Bydgoszcz, Poland
9Department of Interventional Cardiology, Institute of Cardiology, Jagiellonian University Medical College, Kraków, Poland
10Clinical Department of Interventional Cardiology, John Paul II Hospital, Kraków, Poland
111st Department of Cardiology, Poznan University of Medical Sciences, Poznań, Poland
12School of Public Health, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warszawa, Poland
13Faculty of Medicine, Cardinal Stefan Wyszyński University, Warszawa, Poland
14Department of Communication in Medicine, School of Public Health, Center of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warszawa, Poland
15Collegium Medicum, Jan Kochanowski University, Kielce, Poland
16Institute of Computer Science, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warszawa, Poland
17Faculty of Mathematics and Information Science, Warsaw University of Technology, Warszawa, Poland
18Department of Interventional Cardiology and Angiology, National Institute of Cardiology, Warszawa, Poland
19Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Centre of Postgraduate Medical Education, Warszawa, Poland
20Department of Preventive Medicine and Education, Medical University of Gdansk, Gdańsk, Poland
21Department of Nephrology and Internal Medicine, Medical Center for Postgraduate Education, Warszawa, Poland

Correspondence to:

Prof. Piotr Jankowski, MD, PhD,

Department of Internal Medicine and Geriatric Cardiology,

Center of Postgraduate Medical Education,

Czerniakowska 231, 00–416 Warszawa, Poland,

phone: +48 22 58 41 147,

e-mail: piotrjankowski@interia.pl

Copyright by the Author(s), 2023

DOI: 10.33963/KP.a2023.0155

Received: March 4, 2023

Accepted: May 22, 2023

Early publication date: July 10, 2023

Introduction

Myocardial infarction (MI) has been consi­dered a major cause of death in developed countries. The prevalence of MI and mortality in MI patients is strongly influenced by age [1–4]. The evidence on changes in survival and management in nonagenarians with acute coronary artery disease in recent years is limited. Therefore, the present study aimed to evaluate changes in in-hospital and post-hospital survival of patients aged at least 90 years and diagnosed with acute MI.

Methods

We included all patients aged at least 90 years hospitalized for acute MI (the ICD-10 codes I21I22) in Poland from 2014 to 2020 and reported to the National Health Fund (NHF) database and followed up for up to one year. The analysis was conducted using Polish personal identification numbers (PESEL). Medical histories of patients were obtained from the NHF database, and survival was determined according to the national database of deaths (Statistics Poland). Hospitalization was defined as an admission to a healthcare facility longer than 24 hours, excluding patients who died within 24 hours. The hospitalization for MI was defined as a continuous stay in the hospital, including any transfers between wards or hospitals for whatever reason and also as subsequent admission for myocardial infarction within 24 hours after hospital discharge. Hospital readmissions were determined using the NHF database. The primary endpoint was defined as death from any cause, whereas the secondary endpoint was defined as all-cause death, MI, or stroke.

Ethics committee approval was not needed as we analyzed the national database. Informed consent was not required.

Statistical analysis

Continuous variables were presented as means (standard deviations [SD]) or medians (interquartile ranges [IQRs]), while categorical values were presented as percentages with 95% confidence intervals (CI) when appropriate. The Shapiro-Wilk test was used to assess the normality. In order to compare variables without normal distribution, we used the Mann-Whitney U test or Kruskal-Wallis test, as appropriate. The Pearson χ2 test was applied to all categorical variables. A P-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Kaplan-Meier methods were used to construct unadjusted survival curves. Log-rank tests were performed to evaluate differences between groups. Statistical analysis was conducted using STATISTICA 13 software (TIBCO Software, Palo Alto, CA, US).

Results and discussion

The study included a total of 2019 (71.6% females), 2007 (69.7% females), 2197 (67.9% females), 2313 (70.6% females), 2321 (67.5% females), 2282 (67.7% females), and 1831 (67.0% females) patients aged at least 90 years old and diagnosed with acute MI in Poland in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively. The median age (interquartile range [IQR]) was 92.0 (90.993.8) years, 92.0 (90.993.6) years, 92.1 (90.993.7) years, 92.1 (91.093.7) years, 92.1 (90.993.9) years, 92.2 (91.094.1) years, and 92.1 (90.994.1) years, respectively, in the aforementioned years.

Most patients were hospitalized in only one hospital (87.6% [95% CI, 87.1%–88.1%]), while 10.5% (10.0%–11.1%), 1.8% (1.6%–2.0%), 0.07% (0.03%–0.12%), and 0.01% (0.00%–0.04%) of patients were hospitalized in two, three, four, and five hospitals, respectively. The proportion of patients hospitalized who were transferred at least once between hospitals decreased during the observation period (14.8% [13.3%–16.4%] in 2014, 12.5% [11.1%–14.0%] in 2015, 14.2% [12.8%–15.7%] in 2016, 12.1% [10.8%–13.6%] in 2017, 11.8% [10.5%–13.2%] in 2018, 11.5% [10.2%–12.9%] in 2019, and 10.1% [8.8%–11.6%] in 2020, P <0.05). The median duration of hospitalization was 7.0 (4.011.0) days, while the mean duration of hospitalization was 8.5 (4.011.0) days.

Overall, invasive management (at least coronary angiography) was applied in 47.0% (46.2%–47.8%) of patients (42.0% [39.8%–44.2%] in 2014, 44.3% [42.1%–46.5%] in 2015, 47.2% [45.1%–49.3%] in 2016, 46.5% [44.4%–48.6%] in 2017, 49.0% [46.9%–51.0%] in 2018, 49.9% [47.8%–52.0%] in 2019, and 51.5% [49.2%–53.8%] in 2020, P <0.001). In total, in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020, 35.4% (33.3%–37.5%), 37.5% (35.4%–39.7%), 39.3% (37.2%–41.4%), 41.0% (39.0%–43.0%), 40.8% (38.8%–42.9%), 42.4% (40.4%–44.4%), and 42.9% (40.6%–45.2%), respectively, (P <0.001) underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), while 0.1% (0.0%–0.4%), 0.2% (0.1%–0.5%), 0.3% (0.1%–0.7%), 0.0% (0.0%–0.2%), 0.3% (0.1%–0.6%), 0.1% (0.0%–0.3%), and 0.1% (0.0%–0.4%) (P = 0.33), respectively, underwent coronary artery bypass grafting. In-hospital mortality was 27.8% (25.9%–30.0%), 28.5% (26.5%–34%), 28.0% (26.2%–30.0%), 27.6% (25.8%–29.5%), 27.7% (25.9%–29.5%), 26.1% (24.3%–27.9%), and 29.5% (27.4%–31.6%) in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020, respectively, (P <0.001). In-hospital mortality was significantly higher in 2020 compared to 2019 (P = 0.02).

All-cause one-year mortality following discharge in 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020 was 41.7% (95% CI, 39.2%–44.3%), 38.1% (35.6%–40.7%), 36.9% (34.5%–39.3%), 38.0% (35.7%–44%), 34.7% (32.4%–37.1%), 35.3% (33.0%–37.6%), and 48.5% (45.7%–51.3%), respectively, (P <0.001), whereas, the proportions for endpoint involving all-cause death or MI or stroke were 47.0% (44.8%–49.2%), 43.0% (38.2%–42.5%), 41.1% (39.0%–43.2%), 42.8% (40.8%–44.9%), 39.4% (37.4%–41.4%), 39.8% (38.8%–41.8%), and 50.0% (48.8%–52.3%), respectively, (P <0.001) (Figure 1).

Figure 1. Kaplan-Meier curves displaying the estimated one-year event-free survival probability according to the year of hospitalization. A. All-cause death. B. All-cause death, myocardial infarction, or stroke

The characteristics of our study group (the median age slightly over 90 years, the majority women) did not differ during the follow-up period and are comparable to other studies focused on nonagenarians [5]. We observed the tendency, comparable to other studies, toward a higher number of the oldest (≥90 years) admitted to hospital for MI up to the year 2020, when this number was significantly lower [6]. The proportion of hospitalized patients who were transferred at least once between hospitals decreased during the follow-up period, which could be connected with more specialized medical care.

Percutaneous coronary intervention remains the most effective treatment for acute MI patients, and our data demonstrated that also in the oldest subjects, the proportion of patients managed invasively has increased significantly in recent years in Poland. However, the proportion is still significantly lower when compared with younger adults in Poland [3]. A national analysis in the United States concluded that PCI is related to better survival of acute MI patients over 90 years of age [7]. Similar conclusions could be drawn based on analyses from other countries [8–10]. Indeed, our data provides evidence that despite benefits, primary PCI may remain underutilized in the elderly in Poland.

We showed no favorable trend in in-hospital mortality up to 2019, which agrees with data from other countries [7]. The one-year all-cause mortality rate following discharge in nonagenarians was gradually decreasing in Poland up to 2019 with a sharp increase in patients hospitalized in 2020, which could be attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic [11]. However, in other studies, it was suggested the upward trend in MI mortality was most pronounced for the youngest adults when compared to the oldest age groups [12].

In conclusion, we did not find a significant trend in in-hospital mortality from 2014 to 2019 in nonagenarians, but we showed increased in-hospital mortality in 2020. On the other hand, we found a decreasing trend in one-year post-discharge mortality from 2014 to 2019 and a significant increase in 2020 in Poland.

Supplementary material

Supplementary material is available at https://journals.viamedica.pl/kardiologia_polska.

Article information

Conflict of interest: None declared.

Funding: None.

Open access: This article is available in open access under Creative Common Attribution-Non-Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) license, which allows downloading and sharing articles with others as long as they credit the authors and the publisher, but without permission to change them in any way or use them commercially. For commercial use, please contact the journal office at kardiologiapolska@ptkardio.pl.

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Polish Heart Journal (Kardiologia Polska)