open access

Vol 74, No 8 (2016)
Original articles
Published online: 2016-04-01
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Usefulness of HATCH score as a predictor of atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass graft

Volkan Emren, Mustafa Aldemir, Hamza Duygu, Uğur Kocabaş, Evren Tecer, Levent Cerit, Nevzat Erdil
DOI: 10.5603/KP.a2016.0045
·
Kardiol Pol 2016;74(8):749-753.

open access

Vol 74, No 8 (2016)
Original articles
Published online: 2016-04-01

Abstract

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The HATCH score was originally devised to predict the progression of paroxysmal AF to persistent AF.

Aim: To determine whether the HATCH score predicts the development of AF after CABG surgery.

Methods: The medical records of 284 consecutive patients, who underwent CABG surgery between January 2013 and December 2014, were retrospectively reviewed for the development of AF in the postoperative (POAF) period. The HATCH score, and clinical and echocardiographic parameters were evaluated for all patients.

Results: Seventy (25%) patients developed POAF. The HATCH scores were higher in the POAF group (2.8 ± 1.8 vs. 1.1 ± 1.2, p < 0.001). The area of the HATCH score under the curve in the receiver operating characteristics analysis was 773 (95% CI 706–841, p < 0.001). When the HATCH score was 2 or more as a threshold, there was for POAF 72% sensitivity and 75% specificity.

Conclusions: The results of the present study suggest that the HATCH score can be used to predict the development of POAF.

Abstract

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) after coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The HATCH score was originally devised to predict the progression of paroxysmal AF to persistent AF.

Aim: To determine whether the HATCH score predicts the development of AF after CABG surgery.

Methods: The medical records of 284 consecutive patients, who underwent CABG surgery between January 2013 and December 2014, were retrospectively reviewed for the development of AF in the postoperative (POAF) period. The HATCH score, and clinical and echocardiographic parameters were evaluated for all patients.

Results: Seventy (25%) patients developed POAF. The HATCH scores were higher in the POAF group (2.8 ± 1.8 vs. 1.1 ± 1.2, p < 0.001). The area of the HATCH score under the curve in the receiver operating characteristics analysis was 773 (95% CI 706–841, p < 0.001). When the HATCH score was 2 or more as a threshold, there was for POAF 72% sensitivity and 75% specificity.

Conclusions: The results of the present study suggest that the HATCH score can be used to predict the development of POAF.

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Keywords

atrial fibrillation, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, predictor

About this article
Title

Usefulness of HATCH score as a predictor of atrial fibrillation after coronary artery bypass graft

Journal

Kardiologia Polska (Polish Heart Journal)

Issue

Vol 74, No 8 (2016)

Pages

749-753

Published online

2016-04-01

DOI

10.5603/KP.a2016.0045

Bibliographic record

Kardiol Pol 2016;74(8):749-753.

Keywords

atrial fibrillation
coronary artery bypass graft surgery
predictor

Authors

Volkan Emren
Mustafa Aldemir
Hamza Duygu
Uğur Kocabaş
Evren Tecer
Levent Cerit
Nevzat Erdil

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