Prognostic value of septal E/(E’×S’) ratio in predicting cardiac death in patients with heart failure

Abstract

Background: A new tissue Doppler index, E/(E’×S’), including the early diastolic transmitral/mitral annular velocity (E/E’) ratio and systolic mitral annular velocity (S’), has a good accuracy in predicting left ventricular filling pressure.

Aim: To investigate the value of E/(E’×S’) measured at different sites of the mitral annulus to predict cardiac death in patientswith heart failure (HF).

Methods: Echocardiography was performed in 342 consecutive hospitalised patients with HF, in sinus rhythm, at hospital discharge and after one month. Velocities were determined at septal and lateral mitral annular sites, and average values obtained. E/(E’×S’) worsening was defined as a value greater than the value determined at discharge. The end point was cardiac death.

Results: During the follow-up period (35 ± 8.8 months), cardiac death occurred in 52 (15.2%) patients. Septal E/(E’×S’) at hospital discharge presented the largest area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to predict cardiac death (0.85,95% CI 0.79–0.90, p < 0.001). A statistical comparison of the ROC curves demonstrated no significant differences between septal and average E/(E’×S’) (p = 0.54), but the accuracy of septal E/(E’×S’) was better compared to the other analysed echocardiographic parameters [E/(E’×S’), E/E’, S’, etc., all p < 0.05]. The optimal septal E/(E’×S’) cut-off was 3.03 (75% sensitivity,83% specificity). Before discharge, 96 (28.1%) patients presented septal E/(E’×S’) > 3.03. Cardiac death was significantly higher in patients with E/(E’×S’) > 3.03 (39 deaths, 40.2% vs. 13 deaths, 5.3%, p < 0.001). Patients with septal E/(E’×S’) > 3.03 at discharge and worsening after one month presented the worst prognosis in the overall population.

Conclusions: Septal E/(E’×S’) is a powerful predictor of cardiac death in patients with HF.